Alright, let’s talk about this Rune vs Aliassime matchup. Got asked to figure out who might win, so I went through my usual routine.

First thing, I just sat back and thought about these two guys. What comes to mind? Rune, young gun, fiery, lots of energy, can be brilliant but also a bit up and down. Aliassime, smooth power, big serve, maybe struggles a bit with consistency sometimes, especially closing out big matches. That was my gut feeling starting out.
Looking into it
Okay, gut feelings are nice, but you gotta check the facts. So, I started digging around a bit.
- Recent Matches: I pulled up their recent results. How have they been playing lately? Who did they beat, who did they lose to? Was it a tough loss or did they get rolled over? I paid attention to the scores, trying to get a sense of their current form. Rune seemed to have some decent wins, Aliassime maybe a bit mixed, but you have to see who they played.
- Head-to-Head: Next, I looked up their past matches against each other. This is always interesting. Who won before? What surface was it on? Sometimes one player just has the other’s number, you know? Found their previous encounters, noted the scores and surfaces.
- Surface: Big factor this one. Where are they playing? Clay, grass, hard court? Both guys have their preferences. I checked the tournament surface and thought about how each player’s game fits. Rune’s movement on clay is often solid, Aliassime’s power game can work anywhere but maybe shines more on faster courts. I tried to weigh this up.
- Stats Check: Didn’t go super deep into crazy analytics, but I did glance at some basic stats from recent tournaments. Serve percentages, return points won, break points saved/converted. Just trying to see if any numbers jumped out, confirming or challenging what I already thought about their strengths.
Putting it Together
After gathering all that stuff, I started piecing it together.
I thought about Rune’s recent form compared to Aliassime’s. Seemed like Rune might have a slight edge there recently, but Aliassime has that higher peak potential sometimes, that big game that can blow anyone away if it’s firing.
The head-to-head record gave me some clues, but I also considered if those matches were long ago or on different surfaces. Can’t rely on it too much if things have changed.
Then the surface came back into play. Depending on where they’re playing, it could definitely favour one over the other, or maybe level the playing field.
I weighed the aggressive style of Rune against the power baseline game of Aliassime. Who is likely to dictate? Who might make more errors under pressure?
My Take
So, after running through all that, I formed my prediction. I leaned towards Rune in this one, just based on a bit more consistency lately and maybe a slight edge depending on the surface. But it felt close. I wouldn’t be shocked at all if Aliassime came out firing and took it. It felt like one of those matches that could genuinely go either way, maybe three sets. Predicting Rune, but not with massive confidence. Felt like a Rune win, possibly in a tight match.

That’s basically how I got there. Just looking at what they’ve done, how they match up, and making an educated guess based on that process.