Okay, let’s talk about how I got into trying to figure out Wyoming basketball predictions. It wasn’t anything super scientific, more like a personal project, you know? Just messing around and seeing if I could get a feel for it.
Getting Started
So, first thing I did was just decide I wanted to try and predict some games. Wyoming Cowboys, right? Seemed like a fun challenge. I follow the team a bit, catch some games, so I figured I had a basic idea.
Digging for Info
I knew I couldn’t just guess wildly. So, I started digging around for information. This meant spending some time online, looking up basic stuff:
- Team Stats: Points per game, rebounds, assists, that sort of thing. Just the simple numbers you can find easily.
- Recent Games: How’d they do in the last few matchups? Were they winning, losing? Against who?
- Player Stuff: Who were the main scorers? Anybody injured? Sometimes that makes a big difference.
- Opponent Info: Couldn’t just look at Wyoming, right? Had to see who they were playing. How good was the other team based on the same kind of stats?
Didn’t go too deep, honestly. Just gathered the surface-level stuff you find on sports sites or team pages. I wasn’t building some complex computer model, just trying to get a better picture than going purely on gut feeling.
My ‘Method’ – If You Can Call It That
Alright, so I had this info. What next? My process was pretty straightforward, maybe even a bit crude.
I’d look at the basic stats side-by-side. Wyoming vs Opponent. Who scores more on average? Who gives up fewer points? Stuff like that. Then I’d factor in how they’d been playing lately. Momentum feels like a real thing sometimes, even if it’s hard to measure.
Home court advantage felt important too. Teams often play better at home. So I’d give a little mental bump to the home team.
If I saw a key player was out injured, that was a big red flag. Had to adjust my thinking based on who was actually going to be on the court.
Basically, I weighed these things in my head. No complicated formulas. Just looking at the numbers and the situation and making a call based on what seemed most likely.
Making the Predictions
Once I had a feeling, I’d just write it down. Usually just who I thought would win. Sometimes I’d add a little note like “close game” or “Wyoming should handle this one easily” based on how confident I felt after looking at the info.
I tried to do this for a few games in a row, just to see if I could find any pattern or if my approach was getting any better.
Checking How I Did
This is the important part, right? Seeing if I was actually any good at it. After the games, I’d go back and check my predictions against the actual scores.
Well, let’s just say it’s harder than it looks. I got some right, definitely felt good about those. But I missed a fair few too. Upsets happen, teams have off nights, or sometimes the other team just plays out of their minds. All the stats in the world don’t always capture that.
It was a fun exercise, though. Made watching the games a bit more interesting, having my own little prediction on the line. But yeah, definitely not quitting my day job to become a full-time basketball predictor. It showed me that even with some research, there’s a lot of unpredictability in sports. That’s probably why we watch, right?
