Okay, so, I’ve been messing around with this whole UFC betting thing, and let me tell you, it’s been a ride. Today, I want to talk about something that’s been on my mind: the odds on Strickland.
First off, I started digging into some past fights. I remember when Strickland and Du Plessis first went at it earlier this year. It was wild because, on fight night, they were both listed at -110. That means it was basically a coin flip, right? I thought that was crazy, so I started paying more attention to these odds.
Diving Deeper into the Odds
Then, I came across the odds for UFC 312. According to some site, they had Du Plessis as the favorite at -145 and Strickland as the underdog at +125. This got me thinking, how do they even come up with these numbers? How do I know this is legit?
- I started tracking the numbers: I checked out a few different places, you know, just to see what everyone was saying. One had Strickland at -240, while another had Costa at +210. It was all over the place!
- Then I found some old data about other fights: I saw that Adesanya was a massive favorite against Strickland in another fight, with odds like -650 to +470. That was crazy, there is no way I am going to bet on something like that.
- I tried to figure out how these odds work: I read somewhere that you gotta count the “unfavorable outcomes”. Like, if you’re betting on a dice roll, you need to figure out how many rolls would make you lose. Sounds simple enough, but it gets tricky with fighters, doesn’t it?
Making Some Bets, Learning the Hard Way
So, I decided to put my money where my mouth is. I started small, just a few bucks here and there, mostly on Strickland because, why not? He’s the underdog, and who doesn’t love a good underdog story? I even found this site called bet365, but I didn’t go with it.
At first, I had some beginner’s luck. I won a couple of bets, and I thought I was a genius. But then, reality hit. I lost a few, and then a few more. It’s not as easy as it looks, folks.
What I’ve Learned So Far
This whole experience has taught me a few things:
- Odds are just a starting point: They don’t tell the whole story. There’s so much more that goes into a fight.
- It’s a gamble, literally: You can do all the research in the world, but at the end of the day, it’s still a gamble.
- Strickland is a wildcard: He’s unpredictable, and that makes betting on him exciting, but also risky.
Anyway, I’m still figuring this whole thing out. It’s been a fun and frustrating journey, but I’m learning a lot along the way. I’ll keep you guys updated on my progress, maybe I can tell you guys how to win big in the next post.
