Okay, so today I’m gonna walk you through my attempt at predicting the Lesotho vs Rwanda match. It wasn’t pretty, but hey, that’s why we call it a learning experience, right?

First off, I started by gathering data. I’m talking historical match results for both Lesotho and Rwanda, recent form (like, how have they been playing in their last few games?), their FIFA rankings, and any news about injuries or suspensions. I spent a good chunk of the morning just digging this stuff up from various sports websites.
Then, I tried to make sense of it all. This is where it got tricky. Lesotho, honestly, haven’t been playing great. Rwanda’s form was a bit more consistent, but nothing spectacular. I looked at their head-to-head records, and it was pretty evenly split, which didn’t help much.
Next, I decided to look at some key player stats, or at least try to. Finding reliable stats for African national teams can be a real pain. I managed to find some info on a couple of Rwanda’s forwards who’ve been scoring recently, but Lesotho’s side was a bit of a black box.
After that, I tried to factor in things like home advantage. Lesotho was playing at home, which theoretically gives them a boost. But honestly, I couldn’t find much data on how significant home advantage actually is in African qualifiers, so I just kinda guessed.
Finally, I made my prediction. Based on everything I looked at, I figured Rwanda would have a slight edge, maybe a 1-0 win or a draw. I wasn’t super confident, though.
So, how did it go? Well, let’s just say my prediction was way off. The match ended in a different result entirely. I won’t bore you with the details, but it proves that predicting football is hard, really hard.
What did I learn?
- Data is king, but good data is even better. I need to find more reliable sources for African football stats.
- Home advantage is a factor, but it’s not the only one.
- Sometimes, you just gotta admit that you can’t predict everything. Football is unpredictable, and that’s part of what makes it fun.
What would I do differently next time? I’d probably spend more time trying to find reliable player stats and maybe try to incorporate some advanced metrics, if I could find them. But honestly, I think a big part of it is just luck.

Anyway, that’s my story. It was a humbling experience, but I learned a lot. Maybe next time I’ll have better luck… or maybe not! We will see.